July 2023 general election: Difference between revisions
(Major changes to the opinion polls just so they aren't separate, added information) |
No edit summary |
||
Line 182: | Line 182: | ||
== | ==Background== | ||
[[Prime Minister]] [[TheBritishUnion]] | In the 14th of April, 2023, the Speaker of the House of Commons, [[TheBritishUnion]], became the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for a second term following an unopposed leadership election for the governing [[Conservative and Unionist Party]], after the resignation of former Prime Minister BenHenley due to internal party disagreements over the role of the Levelling Up secretary and Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, ThomasHenley, as well as subsequent cabinet resignations that led to the loss of confidence in the Prime Minister. The aforementioned Conservative and Unionist Party – had governed the United Kingdom since the [[November 2022 general election]], with the first Conservative government under Prime Minister [[ShiforRBLX]] with a narrow majority in Parliament with 26 seats. TheBritishUnion succeeded Shifor in his first term as the leader of the Conservatives, further increasing the majority to 29 seats in the [[January 2023 general election]], the best ever result for the [[Conservative Party|Conservatives]] in British electoral history. In the [[May 2023 general election]], TheBritishUnion lost his single-party parliamentary majority to 21 seats, resulting in successful coalition talks with the [[Voice Party]] and a fourth straight Conservative government. However, in the 21st of June, 2023, the [[Voice Party]] announced their withdrawal from the coalition agreement with the Conservatives, due to a number of factors, including low government approval ratings and high opposition approval ratings, uncertainty amongst cabinet members, and previous accusations and scandals that culminated in the collapse of the [[cabinet|coalition cabinet]] and calls for an early general election were made shortly after. Prime Minister TBU was replaced by [[Marcus_Stuyvesant]], the [[Minister of State for Commonwealth and International Development]]. | ||
==Seat increase == | ==Seat increase == |
Latest revision as of 00:12, 2 July 2023
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 60 seats in the House of Commons 31 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The next general election is due to be held on 1 July 2023. Currently, the parties expected to run in the July 2023 general election are the Conservatives, the Labour Party, the Four Star Party, and Progressives.
Opinion polls
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Reclaim | Lib Dems | Four Star | Voice | Lead | Result | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4–6 June | British Media Group | 65 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | Hung | |||
The Liberal Democrats are deregistered as a political party. | |||||||||||||
The Reclaim Party are deregistered due to the ban of their former leader BenHenley. | |||||||||||||
The Progressive Party are registered by former Justice secretary DaMysticPenguin. | |||||||||||||
Prime Minister TheBritishUnion calls for an early general election for the first of July due to the Voice Party withdrawing as a minor coalition partner. | |||||||||||||
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Pro | Four Star | Voice | Lead | Result | ||||
20-23 June | BT Media | 87 | 17 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 5 | Hung | ||||
22-24 June | British Broadcasting Corporation | 110 | 15 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 5 | Hung | ||||
The Voice Party is deregistered by the Electoral Commission on several offences, including voter importing which originally issued a 20% voter deduction, theft of Labour Party manifesto policies, and failing to fulfill it's role as a 'responsible political entity.' | |||||||||||||
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Pro | Four Star | Lead | Result | |||||
30 June - 1 July | British Media Group | 77 | 18 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 7 | Hung |
Background
In the 14th of April, 2023, the Speaker of the House of Commons, TheBritishUnion, became the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for a second term following an unopposed leadership election for the governing Conservative and Unionist Party, after the resignation of former Prime Minister BenHenley due to internal party disagreements over the role of the Levelling Up secretary and Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, ThomasHenley, as well as subsequent cabinet resignations that led to the loss of confidence in the Prime Minister. The aforementioned Conservative and Unionist Party – had governed the United Kingdom since the November 2022 general election, with the first Conservative government under Prime Minister ShiforRBLX with a narrow majority in Parliament with 26 seats. TheBritishUnion succeeded Shifor in his first term as the leader of the Conservatives, further increasing the majority to 29 seats in the January 2023 general election, the best ever result for the Conservatives in British electoral history. In the May 2023 general election, TheBritishUnion lost his single-party parliamentary majority to 21 seats, resulting in successful coalition talks with the Voice Party and a fourth straight Conservative government. However, in the 21st of June, 2023, the Voice Party announced their withdrawal from the coalition agreement with the Conservatives, due to a number of factors, including low government approval ratings and high opposition approval ratings, uncertainty amongst cabinet members, and previous accusations and scandals that culminated in the collapse of the coalition cabinet and calls for an early general election were made shortly after. Prime Minister TBU was replaced by Marcus_Stuyvesant, the Minister of State for Commonwealth and International Development.
Seat increase
The seats in the House of Commons were increased from fifty (50) to sixty (60) following the Amendment to the Electoral Provisions Act 2021 by Minister without Portfolio martinbani22. This change takes place this election.
Previous Election Comparison
The votes and seats in the previous election are in the table below, as well as what the results would've looked like in a 60-seat parliament (shown in the infobox as in brackets), and a comparison to this election:
Last Election | This Election | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Leader | Votes | Seats (50) | Seats (60) | Votes | Change | Seats (60) | Change | ||||||||
Of total | Of total | Of total | Of total | Of total | Of total | Of total | ||||||||||
Conservative Party | Marcus_Stuyvesant | 166 | 41.5% | 21 | 42% | 25 | 45.6% | TBD | ||||||||
Labour Party | RebaAstor | 120 | 30.0% | 15 | 30% | 18 | 30% | TBD | ||||||||
Four Star Party | Dxavus | 44 | 11.1% | 5 | 10% | 7 | 11.6% | TBD | ||||||||
Voice Party | AdaptedFrost | 36 | 9.0% | 5 | 10% | 5 | 8.3% | Party disbanded due to espionage | ||||||||
Liberal Democrats | BlazeFuse | 25 | 6.25% | 3 | 6% | 4 | 6.6% | Party deregistered | ||||||||
UK First | OwenKCSmith | 9 | 2.25% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 1.6% | Merged with Four Star |
Notes
- ↑ Seats in (brackets) reflect what last election's results would've been if calculated on 60 seats.