July 2023 general election: Difference between revisions

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(Changed colour of Labour polling, changed status of Voice Party)
(Major changes to the opinion polls just so they aren't separate, added information)
Line 57: Line 57:
| leader4 = [[DaMysticPenguin]]
| leader4 = [[DaMysticPenguin]]
| party4 = [[Progressive Party|Progressive]]
| party4 = [[Progressive Party|Progressive]]
| color4 =  
| color4 = f97cd0
| leader_since4 = 11 June 2023
| leader_since4 = 11 June 2023
| leaders_seat4 = N/A
| leaders_seat4 = N/A
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| before_election = [[TheBritishUnion]] ([[Conservative]]) <br> [[AdaptedFrost]] ([[Voice]])
| before_election = [[TheBritishUnion]] ([[Conservative]]) <br> [[AdaptedFrost]] ([[Voice]])
}}
}}
The '''next general election''' is due to be held on 1 July 2023. Currently, the parties expected to run in the July 2023 general election are the: [[Conservative & Unionist Party]]; [[Labour Party]]; [[Four Star Party]]; and [[Progressive Party]].
The '''next general election''' is due to be held on 1 July 2023. Currently, the parties expected to run in the July 2023 general election are the [[Conservative & Unionist Party|Conservatives]], the [[Labour Party]], the [[Four Star Party]], and [[Progressive Party|Progressives]].


==Opinion polling==
==Opinion polls==
{| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"
{| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"
! rowspan="2" |Dates<br>conducted
! rowspan="2" |Dates<br>conducted
Line 80: Line 80:
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Conservative Party|Con]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Conservative Party|Con]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Labour Party|Lab]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Labour Party|Lab]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Reform Party|Ref]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Reclaim Party|Reclaim]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Liberal Democrats|Lib Dems]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Liberal Democrats|Lib Dems]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Four Star]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Four Star]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Voice]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Voice]]
! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number" |Lead
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|Lead
! rowspan="2" |Result
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"|Result
|-
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#0087dc;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#0087dc;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#e4003b;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#e4003b;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#14172d;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#15172e;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#faa61a;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#faa61b;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#000000;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#000000;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#088f8f;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#088f8f;" |
Line 104: Line 104:
|3
|3
| style="background:#0087dc;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-12" |12
| style="background:#0087dc;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-12" |12
| style="background:#525252;color:#FFFFFF;" |Hung  
| style="background:#525252;color:#FFFFFF;" |Hung
|}
|-
 
| colspan="14" | The [[Liberal Democrats]] are deregistered as a political party.
{| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"
|-
| colspan="14" | The [[Reclaim Party]] are deregistered due to the ban of their former leader BenHenley.
|-
| colspan="14" | The Progressive Party are registered by former Justice secretary DaMysticPenguin.
|-
| colspan="14" | Prime Minister [[TheBritishUnion]] calls for an early general election for the first of July due to the [[Voice Party]] withdrawing as a minor coalition partner.
|-
! rowspan="2" |Dates<br>conducted
! rowspan="2" |Dates<br>conducted
! rowspan="2" |Pollster
! rowspan="2" |Pollster
Line 113: Line 119:
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Conservative Party|Con]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Conservative Party|Con]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Labour Party|Lab]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Labour Party|Lab]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Progressive Party|Pgr]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Progressive Party|Pro]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Four Star]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Four Star]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Voice]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Voice]]
! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number" |Lead
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|Lead
! rowspan="2" |Result
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"|Result
|-
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#0087dc;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#0087dc;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#e4003b;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#e4003b;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#faa61a;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#f97cd0;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#000000;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#000000;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#088f8f;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#088f8f;" |
Line 145: Line 151:
|6
|6
| style="background:#e4003b;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5" |5
| style="background:#e4003b;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5" |5
| style="background:#525252;color:#FFFFFF;" |Hung
|-
| colspan="14" | The [[Voice Party]] is deregistered by the Electoral Commission on several offences, including voter importing which originally issued a 20% voter deduction, theft of [[Labour Party]] manifesto policies, and failing to fulfill it's role as a 'responsible political entity.'
|-
! rowspan="2" |Dates<br>conducted
! rowspan="2" |Pollster
! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number" |Sample<br>size
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Conservative Party|Con]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Labour Party|Lab]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Progressive Party|Pro]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Four Star]]
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|Lead
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"|Result
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#0087dc;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#e4003b;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#f97cd0;" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#000000;" |
|-
|30 June - 1 July
|[https://twitter.com/BMG_RBX British Media Group]
|77
|18
| style="background:#f8c1be;color:black" |'''25'''
|9
|8
| style="background:#e4003b;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-7" |7
| style="background:#525252;color:#FFFFFF;" |Hung
| style="background:#525252;color:#FFFFFF;" |Hung
|}
|}
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|1.6%
|1.6%
| colspan="8" style="text-align:center;" |''Merged with [[Four Star Party|Four Star]]''
| colspan="8" style="text-align:center;" |''Merged with [[Four Star Party|Four Star]]''
|-
| style="text-align:left;" |[[Progressive Party]]
| style="background:#d6000e;" |
| style="text-align:left;" |[[DaMysticPenguin]]
| colspan="6" style="text-align:center;" |''Did not stand''
| colspan="8" style="text-align:center;" |''TBD''


|}
|}

Revision as of 22:42, 1 July 2023

July 2023 general election
← May 2023 1 July 2023
All 60 seats in the House of Commons
31 seats needed for a majority
  Marcus_Stuyvesant?size=100x100&.png RebaAstor?size=100x100&.png Dxavus?size=100x100&.png
Leader Marcus_Stuyvesant RebaAstor Dxavus
Party Conservative Labour Four Star
Leader since 21 June 2023 17 April 2023 1 May 2023
Leader's seat Norfolk Lothian Surrey
Last election 21 (25)[1] seats, 41.5% 15 (18) seats, 30.0% 5 (7) seats, 11.1%
Current seats 21 (25) 15 (18) 6 (8)
Seats needed Increase 10 (Increase 6) Increase 16 (Increase 13) Increase 25 (Increase 23)
  DaMysticPenguin?size=100x100&.png
Leader DaMysticPenguin
Party Progressive
Leader since 11 June 2023
Leader's seat N/A
Last election Did not stand
Seats needed Increase 31 (Increase 31)
Incumbent Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister

TheBritishUnion (Conservative)
AdaptedFrost (Voice)


The next general election is due to be held on 1 July 2023. Currently, the parties expected to run in the July 2023 general election are the Conservatives, the Labour Party, the Four Star Party, and Progressives.

Opinion polls

Dates
conducted 		Pollster Sample
size 		Con Lab Reclaim Lib Dems Four Star Voice Lead Result
4–6 June British Media Group 65 24 12 6 1 4 3 12 Hung
The Liberal Democrats are deregistered as a political party.
The Reclaim Party are deregistered due to the ban of their former leader BenHenley.
The Progressive Party are registered by former Justice secretary DaMysticPenguin.
Prime Minister TheBritishUnion calls for an early general election for the first of July due to the Voice Party withdrawing as a minor coalition partner.
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Sample
size 		Con Lab Pro Four Star Voice Lead Result
20-23 June BT Media 87 17 22 0 8 13 5 Hung
22-24 June British Broadcasting Corporation 110 15 20 8 11 6 5 Hung
The Voice Party is deregistered by the Electoral Commission on several offences, including voter importing which originally issued a 20% voter deduction, theft of Labour Party manifesto policies, and failing to fulfill it's role as a 'responsible political entity.'
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Sample
size 		Con Lab Pro Four Star Lead Result
30 June - 1 July British Media Group 77 18 25 9 8 7 Hung


Snap election

Prime Minister TheBritishUnion called a snap election after the Voice Party left his coalition government.

Seat increase

The seats in the House of Commons were increased from fifty (50) to sixty (60) following the Amendment to the Electoral Provisions Act 2021 by Minister without Portfolio martinbani22. This change takes place this election.

Previous Election Comparison

The votes and seats in the previous election are in the table below, as well as what the results would've looked like in a 60-seat parliament (shown in the infobox as in brackets), and a comparison to this election:

Last Election This Election
Party Leader Votes Seats (50) Seats (60) Votes Change Seats (60) Change
Of total Of total Of total Of total Of total Of total Of total
Conservative Party Marcus_Stuyvesant 166 41.5% 21 42% 25 45.6% TBD
Labour Party RebaAstor 120 30.0% 15 30% 18 30% TBD
Four Star Party Dxavus 44 11.1% 5 10% 7 11.6% TBD
Voice Party AdaptedFrost 36 9.0% 5 10% 5 8.3% Party disbanded due to espionage
Liberal Democrats BlazeFuse 25 6.25% 3 6% 4 6.6% Party deregistered
UK First OwenKCSmith 9 2.25% 1 2% 1 1.6% Merged with Four Star

Notes

  1. ↑ Seats in (brackets) reflect what last election's results would've been if calculated on 60 seats.
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